Expected census delays may postpone state redistricting efforts in 2021

Read this carefully.  It is possible that redistricting in California will not be completed until December 15, 2021.  That means potential candidates for office, needing to know if they live in a district or not, will have two months before filing opens to see if they should run for public office.

“This expected delay could postpone state redistricting efforts in 2021. At least one state (California) has already extended its redistricting deadlines in light of the uncertainty surrounding the conclusion of the census. On July 17, the California Supreme Court unanimously ordered the California Citizens Redistricting Commission to release draft district plans by Nov. 1, 2021, and final district plans by Dec. 15, 2021. The original deadlines were July 1, 2021, and August 15, 2021, respectively.”

Unless the California Republican Party and the county committees are not prepared for this, we will have more than the 20 legislative seats without a GOP’er running, like we had for the March, 2020 primary.

Expected census delays may postpone state redistricting efforts in 2021

Jerrick Adams / Ballotpedia via The Center Square, 11/24/20   

On Nov. 19, U.S. Census Bureau Director Steve Dillingham announced that, “during post-collection processing, certain processing anomalies have been discovered” in the 2020 United States Census. Dillingham said he had directed the bureau “to utilize all resources available to resolve this as expeditiously as possible.” Also on Nov. 19, The New York Times reported that “a growing number of snags in the massive data-processing operation that generates population totals had delayed the completion of population calculations at least until Jan. 26, [2021], and perhaps to mid-February.”

This expected delay could postpone state redistricting efforts in 2021. At least one state (California) has already extended its redistricting deadlines in light of the uncertainty surrounding the conclusion of the census. On July 17, the California Supreme Court unanimously ordered the California Citizens Redistricting Commission to release draft district plans by Nov. 1, 2021, and final district plans by Dec. 15, 2021. The original deadlines were July 1, 2021, and August 15, 2021, respectively.

The census, apportionment, and redistricting: Every ten years, the United States conducts the census, a complete count of the U.S. population. Census results determine congressional apportionment (i.e., the number of seats each state has in the U.S. House of Representatives). Because the U.S. Constitution requires that seats in the House be apportioned to the states on the basis of population, a state can gain seats if its population grows or lose seats if its population decreases, relative to populations in other states.

Federal law requires congressional and legislative districts to have substantively equal populations. States use census data during their redistricting processes to ensure compliance with this requirement. The standard census timeline calls for the bureau to submit apportionment counts to the President by Dec. 31 and redistricting data to the states by April 1, 2021.

In the 2010 cycle, redistricting authorities enacted 43 new congressional district maps and 50 new state legislative district maps. The majority of these – 63 maps (31 congressional and 32 state legislative), 67.74 percent of the total– were enacted in 2011. In 2012, 28 maps (12 congressional and 16 state legislative) were enacted, 30.11 percent of the total. The remaining maps were enacted in the first six months of 2013.

About Stephen Frank

Stephen Frank is the publisher and editor of California Political News and Views. He speaks all over California and appears as a guest on several radio shows each week. He has also served as a guest host on radio talk shows. He is a fulltime political consultant.

Comments

  1. The Democrats know the state has lost population.

    Without blatant Gerrymandering that will expose them for what they are, There is a good chance “secure” Marxist Democrat seats will be up for grabs.

    Now about a State Republican Party that is willing to actively push for registrations. (Oh and clalll the Slick on unethical actions.)

  2. Paint Brush says

    This is great news. Now we have time to recruit honest people to get involved and secure honest redistricting that is fair to all, not just those small areas of highly concentrated population.

  3. Of course there will be delays. Anything that has a negative impact on the communist democrats will delayed to the point of oblivion. 2021 is being optimistic. The communist democrats will never yield any power over people.

  4. Bruce Boyer says

    The game plan of the Dems is to make up districts that have two incumbent Repubs in them and new districts that used to have a Repub have none. So its a scramble at the last minute and an incumbent does not even know what if any parts of their current dist. they would look to represent in 2023 and run in in March of 2022!
    This late deadline will screw us over. Bet that the Dems will know months before where the new districts will actually be!

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