Frank: Massive Voter Registration Losses in California GOP Targeted Races

It is time to end the happy talk, the crowing about voter registration and by omitting the facts, district by district registration numbers.  In the past few days, CRP Chair sent the following to Republicans:

  • “422,225 New Republicans registered since CAGOP Chairwoman Jessica Millan Patterson was elected in 2019
  • 113,744 New Republicans registered since the last report in July 2020
  • 289,473 New Republicans registered since the beginning of 2020”

Not mentioned: in spite of the lack of a California Republican Party voter registration program.  Not mentioned: that as Chair she receives over a two-year period, $500,000 in salary, but the allocation for voter registration in the same period is $50,000—and most of that money is UNSPENT.  The Board has set its priority and voter registration is NOT on the list.

MOST IMPORTANTLY SHE DOES NOT MENTION THAT IN THE SAME TIME PERIOD THE DEMOCRATS REGISTERED 1,500,000 NEW VOTERS! THAT IS THREE AND HALF TIMES THE NUMBER OF Republicans registered. This is the classic definition of failure that they unwisely drew attention to with a misleading email.

Elections are won district by district. So how did we do in the targeted, hard fought races around the State?  Below is a list of ten targeted races.  In EVERY one we had massive voter registration losses, from January 1. 2019 to the 60 day close, September 4, 2020.

Massive Voter Registration Losses in California GOP Targeted Races

Stephen Frank, Exclusive to the California Political News and Views,  10/5/20

The first step to recovery for an addict is to admit you have a problem.  The California Republican Party, led by Chair Jessica Patterson is not ready for recovery.  Instead of explaining why they do not have a voter registration program, they publish partial statistics—read it carefully, they never say that their programs are successful, just that while in office these people registered as Republican.  Not mentioned in their propaganda is that during the same time period, January 1, 2019 to September 4, 2020, the Democrats registered 1.5 million NEW Democrats.

As we watch the returns on November 3, remember these numbers.  We have lost two years of voter registration under the current Chair.  Actually, the CRP stopped voter registration in March of 2013. (This is not a typo.) If 400,000 people registered as GOP’ers on their own, imagine how many more would do so if the CRP had a registration program!

Due to the massive registration losses in targeted races, we must spend more money to keep or win those seats.

This is what Politico wrote, using facts, not hiding them:

THEY’RE NUMBER TWO! — “California Republicans reclaim second-place status from independents,” by POLITICO’s Jeremy B. White: Still, the party has lots of work to do. There are still fewer registered Republicans than there were between 2000 and 2012, although the party is rebounding from its 2016 nadir. … Democrats saw the largest overall gains since last cycle, adding some 1.6 million registered voters. Their edge over Republicans increased by some 1.3 million voters between 2016 and 2020.

“And the numbers could indicate a negative development for Republicans: more no-party-preference voters registering as Democrats . While Republican’s share of the electorate remained stable from 2018 to 2020, Democrats expanded their share as the proportion of party-less voters declined. … There are now 21.2 million registered voters, which is 84.7 percent of the eligible voter pool — the highest share in the last 68 years. It’s also some 3 million more registered voters than in 2016.”

Here are the real numbers, all from the web site of the California Secretary of State.  Is this a winning hand?

21 Congressional District  Valadao

2018  Dem   99,763  GOP  62,571  NPP  58,229

2020  Dem  110,367  GOP  68,664  NPP  57,949

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019   4,611

25 Congressional District  Garcia

2018   Dem 144,965  GOP  127, 900   NPP  100,137

2020  Dem  168,344   GOP  136,138  NPP  95,496

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019:    15331

39 Congressional District  Young Kim

2018  Dem  125,668  GOP  123,679  NPP  110,842

2020  Dem  149,989  GOP  166,251  NPP 102,767

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019    14,735

45 Congressional District  Raths

2018 Dem  128,450  GOP  157,929  NPP  121,613

2020  Dem  157,989  GOP  166,251  NPP  114,394

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019    15,217

48 Congressional District   Steel

2018  Dem 121,523  GOP  144,872  NPP—-110,842

2020  Dem  156,646   GOP  167,375   NPP—102,023

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019    12,620

21st State Senate  Wilk

2018  Dem  176,769  GOP  149,437   NPP  120,548

2020  Dem  208,289  GOP  166,384  NPP  117,003

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019     14, 593

29 Senate District   Chang

2018  Dem  163,812   GOP  144,318  NPP  129,043

2020  Dem  193,226    GOP  156,169   NPP 124,115

 Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019     17,988

37  Senate District   Moorlach

2018   Dem  168,586   GOP 196,990   NPP  156,260

2020  Dem 205,778  GOP  207,533   NPP  145,192

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019      26,659

35  Assembly District  Cunningham

2018  Dem  87,690    GOP  86,691    NPP  63,537

2020   Dem  100,413  GOP  91,534   NPP  56,901

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019     7,480

55 Assembly District  Chen

2018  Dem  79,363  GOP  85,278   NPP  70,340

2020  Dem  96,274   GOP  92,629   NPP   72,770

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019     9,580

68 Assembly   Choi

2018  Dem  80,493  GOP  95,468      NPP  74,978

2020   Dem  101,034  GOP  101,525  NPP  72,589

Dems net gain over GOP since January 1. 2019     14,474  

There is not a single legislative district in California where we had a net gain over the Democrats.

What has the CRP done over the past two years?  The first responsibility for a political party is to register voters.  Also note that on the ballot, between Assembly, State Senate and Congress there are more than 25 races without a Republican on the November ballot.  No voter registration, few candidates— the CAGOP leadership need to tell the truth and stop distracting us with misleading numbers that do not tell the full story.  We are adults, we deserve the truth.

All of these numbers came from the Secretary of State’s web site.  We deserve better than this?  As I like to say, “Leaders Lead”—is this leadership?

About Stephen Frank

Stephen Frank is the publisher and editor of California Political News and Views. He speaks all over California and appears as a guest on several radio shows each week. He has also served as a guest host on radio talk shows. He is a fulltime political consultant.

Comments

  1. James Coles says

    From where I sit it’s clear that any & all serious Republicans should “un-ass” California & emigrate elsewhere.
    The once Golden State has morphed into a Third World stink hole with islands of grandeur surrounded by a stagnant cell pool of corruption, tyranny & misery.
    Touted as the world’s fifth largest economy & home to high wages in many occupations, California is currently at its zenith, headed for a nadir of yet unplumbed depths of despair & misery.

    • Boris Badenov says

      It’s no better anywhere else, quite frankly. Idaho is sinking, AridZona is sinking, Nevada is Purple, Colorado is hosed, Ore-Gone, Washed–Up. Montana has a Dim Gov. Texas is sinking. New Mexico is BLUE. The cancer is spreading.

      • William Hicks says

        Years ago many east coast liberals moved to the west coast. The very policies they embraced on the east coast they brought to the west coast. NOW, west coast liberals are moving out of the horrible mess they created on the west coast to nice places like Idaho; bringing with them the failed political policies they are escaping from the fruits thereof.

        THEY’RE LIKE LOCUST’S consuming and destroying as they move from brown pastures to green pastures.

  2. This is sobering, but depressing. Here for a while I was rejoicing.

  3. William Hicks says

    IF the November election goes Biden, then there certainly will be no place to escape to.

  4. The forces that are moving America to socialism/communism have been very effective, just as they have been in other nations. The strategies have been consistent and observable. America is well down that road with an increasingly large population believing that is the only way to fix America. On top of that the Republican party (NOT THE TRUMP PARTY) has become a scattering of individuals who have moved into the swamp. Even our big corporations have/are abandoning America in their attempt to capture the world market. Stand by to be in a new nation as America, and it’s dream, dies. Some of us will not go that direction without a fight. Where do you stand??

  5. The RINO syndrome is clear long term.

    They were and are more concerned about social standing with the opposition than standing with back bone.

    Then there is the issue of Republicans of note being unwilling for decades to match the spending of the Socialists. The only spending done by Republicans is the short period before elections. That does not cut it in the real world. When our side realizes this is an ongoing battle of wits and countering lies perhaps there is a chance.

    Look at what Trump did with CV-19. He has handed us a clear victory with the use of aggressive treatment that makes the Democrat Drum Beat look stupid. Will that be used by our side?

    Where are the dollars at the ready to next week to make that point?

  6. There simply aren’t enough people who don’t want government to take care of every aspect of their existence and then send the bill to others. The former Republican message of limited foreign wars, limited spending and few government programs won’t buy the party enough votes in California, and most other states around the U.S., to win elections.

    The RINOs have totally sold out to the opposition if it means they will retain public office and enrich themselves with connected contributors and lobbyists.

  7. The biggest problem I see is the rinos want to be friends with the dems. They do not realize this is WAR. You have to destroy the dems. You have to fight and be mean and nasty . They want to play nice while the dems stick a knife in their back and kill them. Trump has shown them how to WIN. But they just can do it.

  8. Florida came back from a concerted Dem effort to turn it blue. The state Republican Party used a massive voter registration campaign to turn it around. https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-florida-archive-elections-voting-2020-35937fde0143780c5824c4d136311e45

  9. Karl Vance says

    One reason that less republican are registered in California is the democratic controlling of the registrar. I personally ( after moving within ca ) registered as a independent when doing the license address change. Yet when i got confirmation I was registered Democrat. So I double checked that I didn’t register Democrat and now specially registered republican. Yet I was still a Democrat according to CA voter system. The corruption is inconceivable.

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