Stein: Shortages and inflation to be the new norm as refinery closures outpace new construction

During the summer the cost of gas normally goes up—for two reasons.  First because more people are driving around the country on vacation.  Second, because this is the time of year when refineries shut down for maintenance.  Then you have tornado and hurricane season toward the end of summer, and refineries and offshore drilling is shut down.  Sadly, if you can get it,  it takes years to get a permit to build a new refinery—and years, if ever to get permits to drill.

While the demented Biden talks about the 9,000 oil leases the industry could use, he does not mention the lack of permits to drill.  Having a lease means nothing if government won’t give you a permit.  We are in for really high gas prices by the end of the year.  Only ten refineries are being built in North America.  But 27 will be closed over the next five years—for a net lost of 17 refineries—further pushing the cost of gas higher.

In 2019 there were 135 refineries in the U.S.  but five facilities were shuttered during the last two years.

Each refinery location is a business that needs to make business decisions. Consequently, one in five oil refineries are expected to cease operations over the next five years. One in five is 20 percent, or almost 140 refineries expected to be shuttered worldwide, resulting in a 20 percent decline in the products manufactured to meet the ever-increasing demands form society.”

Shortages and inflation to be the new norm as refinery closures outpace new construction

Refinery closures are outpacing new construction over the next five years and will significantly reduce the supply of items manufactured at refineries to meet increasing worldwide demands and place tremendous pressures on continuous shortages and inflation.

By Ronald Stein, Heartland Institute,  6/22/22   

As the world has become impassioned with increasing its electricity generation from wind turbines and solar panels from breezes and sunshine, the world is silently slipping into a future of shortages and inflation as society’s demands for all the products and fuels manufactured from crude oil is exceeding the supply available from the dwindling number of refineries.

There were almost 700 oil refineries in the world as of January 2020, but as a result on continuous over regulations, permitting delays, aging equipment,  and the worldwide support of the Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) to divest in fossil fuels, the right operating model and level of integration will be crucial for survival and sustained profitability of refineries.

In 2019 there were 135 refineries in the U.S.  but five facilities were shuttered during the last two years.

Each refinery location is a business that needs to make business decisions. Consequently, one in five oil refineries are expected to cease operations over the next five years. One in five is 20 percent, or almost 140 refineries expected to be shuttered worldwide, resulting in a 20 percent decline in the products manufactured to meet the ever-increasing demands form society.

There are over 100 new refineries under construction, with most of them in Asia with 88, Europe with 12 and North America with 10. Asia is the region with the greatest number of future petroleum refineries. As of 2021, there were 88 new facilities in planning or under construction in Asia. By comparison, Europe is set to see an addition of12 petroleum refinery, and North America is set to see an addition of 10. The amount of oil fed through refineries in Asia has significantly increased in the past three decades as demand for petroleum products surged in developing countries such as China and India. China is on track to succeed the United States as the country with the greatest oil refinery throughput.

While worldwide demand for the products made with oil derivatives and fuels manufactured at refineries continue to increase, the upcoming closures of manufacturers over the next five years will significantly reduce the supply of those items and place tremendous pressures on continuous shortages and inflation.

Renewables can only generate electricity, and intermittent electricity at best. The undisputable science is that renewables CANNOT manufacture any of the oil derivatives that are the basis of the thousands of products that are the foundation of societies and economies around the world. In fact, renewables cannot exist without crude oil as all the parts of wind turbines and solar panels are made with oil derivatives manufactured from crude oil.

Here is a reminder of what is manufactured from oil that did not exist before 1900 that are needed to support the growing demands of the world’s economy and for the health and well-being of the world’s eight billion residents:

Fuels for the:

Oil derivatives to make thousands of products such as:

Crude oil is useless unless it can be manufactured into something usable.

The Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) strategy to divest in all fossil fuels is working but will result in shortages and inflation as the new norm as society’s demands for the products from crude oil are exceeding the supply from the diminishing number of manufacturers.

With worldwide refinery closures outpacing new construction, shortages and inflation are likely to be the new norm that inflict regressive expenses upon those that can least afford it.

About Stephen Frank

Stephen Frank is the publisher and editor of California Political News and Views. He speaks all over California and appears as a guest on several radio shows each week. He has also served as a guest host on radio talk shows. He is a fulltime political consultant.

Comments

  1. Really??? says

    Geezzz Mr. Stein why would you confuse the reader with facts?

    After all the oil based products not including energy will be easily replaced. What you mean the plastics, fabrics, etc. that are carbon based will disappear? But the environmental whackos say differently.

    I know the renewables from toxic Lithium, cobalt, nickel, and fiber glass will make up the difference.

    You see rational thought and step wise questions/answers and you wonder how the Left ever gets a vote.

  2. I guess this piece was abbreviated?
    It doesn’t list petroleum based products like PVC piping that’s up 400 to 500%.
    Brandon’s war on the items identified by the advice, “The Graduate,” was provided in the movie.
    Yep:plastics as mentioned above.
    Of course Brandon wages war on everything from plastic bags to drag-nets for our fisheries.
    It’s a cowardly new world.

    Try keeping the mice away from you car wiring too.

    Obummer pushed that with the IEEE so maybe now you’ll see who may really be pulling the strings.
    He awarded a huge $ prize for who could come up with a non petroleum based wire insulation.
    His contingents:THE RODENTS! Are overjoyed.
    Better put moth balls in your ECM box under the hood.
    Not to worry, Honda sells some pepper spray tainted anti rodent tape.
    Last time I bought a very small role it was about $40.
    Rescued a friends Toyota Camry by tracing the color code and patching the circuits with wire/solder & shrink tube.
    The garage of course had her convinced to purchase a new Camry.
    Mechanics don’t use soldering irons.

    Guess what I thought about her buying a new Toyota because of a couple of chewed circuits.
    Yep, you guessed it.

    https://www.motorverso.com/which-cars-have-soy-based-wiring/

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