Virus Models Proved Massively Wrong

This is from Dr. Fauci and his team, using projected “models” of the Wuhan Virus in the United States.

So overnight the IHME — the official group Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx have been promoting cut their numbers by more than half!
Here is what the IHME NOW HAS for April 5th:

– All beds needed: Was 179,267 … Now is 90,353
– ICU beds needed: Was 33,176 … Now is 17,589
– Invasive ventilators: Was 26,544 … Now is 14,951

Here are the REAL raw numbers from the same agency:

The actual numbers as recorded at The Covid Tracking Project:

– Actual hospitalizations: 22,158
– In ICU: 5,207
– On ventilator: 656

The actual numbers show:
Via Dr. Ned Nikolov.

– Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
– Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
– Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times

Enough said.  Time to return to reality and normal.  Did you see that Guv Newsom GAVE 400 ventilators to New York on Sunday—obviously California has more than enough,  Though Newsom is saying we need 10,000 MORE ventilators—confused?  So are the experts and Democrats.

HUGE! Official IHME Model for Coronavirus Used by CDC Just Cut Their Numbers by Half!… They’re Making It Up As they Go Along!

By Jim Hoft, Gateway Pundit,  4/6/20   

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This is quite stunning.
The government models used to predict the extent of the coronavirus pandemic are off by huge margins in the latest coronavirus tracking numbers.

The government predictions reported by the IHME Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5th were as follows:

– All beds needed: 179,267
– ICU beds needed: 33,176
– Invasive ventilators: 26,544

TRENDING: HUGE! Official IHME Model for Coronavirus Used by CDC Just Cut Their Numbers by Half!… They’re Making It Up As they Go Along!

These numbers were posted on their website on Sunday.

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Those were the predictions.

The actual numbers as recorded at The Covid Tracking Project:

– Actual hospitalizations: 22,158
– In ICU: 5,207
– On ventilator: 656

The actual numbers show:
Via Dr. Ned Nikolov.

– Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
– Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
– Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times

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So overnight the IHME — the official group Dr. Fauci and Dr. Birx have been promoting cut their numbers by more than half!
Here is what the IHME NOW HAS for April 5th:

– All beds needed: Was 179,267 … Now is 90,353
– ICU beds needed: Was 33,176 … Now is 17,589
– Invasive ventilators: Was 26,544 … Now is 14,951

They cut their projections by almost HALF!… And THEY’RE STILL TOO HIGH!

They’re making it up as they go along!

This is completely unacceptable.
At this time in history and with the technology in place it is absolutely shocking that this could happen!
Millions of Americans will lose their jobs due to these panic-driven lockdowns.
The first people to be fired should be the ones who drove this panic!

About Stephen Frank

Stephen Frank is the publisher and editor of California Political News and Views. He speaks all over California and appears as a guest on several radio shows each week. He has also served as a guest host on radio talk shows. He is a fulltime political consultant.

Comments

  1. Personally I feel better about over-estimating need for medical supplies than under-estimating medical needs. When you’re the ones getting sick, you don’t want to die just because our country didn’t have medical supplies.

    We will get the economy going again. There’s been much more happening than many know. The air has dramatically settled down in last couple of days and I can breathe so much better now (hint). Much of Marines’ activities to save the children have settled down. Earthquakes have subsided. They probably couldn’t predict everything exactly but left room for unexpected contingencies.

    • Diane I agree. Now we have everything the deep state screwed up. Yes to all the other things too. Hope the arrests come soon.

    • John Steele says

      Bingo.. I feel better that we are ahead of the virus and this isn’t a BAD THING like it’s being pushed. Our social distancing and staying home is having the desired effect. Thats not Dr. Fauci fault. It’s much better to be over-prepared than to be caught flatfooted like the demorats were pushing. Go on down to china town said Nancy and DeBlasio.. complete and utter incompetent jerks who would have killed many more if we had listened to their PC advice .

  2. Really??? says

    What will be Slick’s excuse now about the lousy things he said about Trump at the beginning of this?

    What excuse will the Democrats give for the lack of bike use and walking to get needed supplies? After all what we have on the streets is the ideal conditions for the anti car crowd.

    When put against the wall the modern transportation grid and auto use is the preferred mode.

    But then again Slick Newsom will continue to spend Billions on the Broken Choo Choo, and continue to rob $6 Billion from the roads for non-existent bike riders.

    Reality is a you know what. The nasty comments by Pelosi and the rest of the Democrats should cost them votes, but with illegals voting, and the majority of the Democrat support coming from government workers most likely will not happen.

  3. Dr Trent Saxton says

    If they have their way..the Democrats will have all of us voting by mail. They will win every election by stuffing the ballot boxes with illegal alien and dead democrat voters. We need to make sure this doesn’t happen.

  4. tomsquawk says

    Chicken Little? Of course, that always brings more munny. For pensions.

    I have a third anchor in the bilge of my boat. It’s for kedging. Been there since 1973, never has been used, Good. It takes away space for more beer, but that is OK. At least I can sleep through a storm.

  5. Aren’t these the same modelers forecasting global warming.warming? When have these models ever been correct? One could surmise the models are loaded with selective data to create a desired result to serve an agenda.

  6. JLSeagull says

    For weeks, respectable statisticians have been pointing out the total dearth of reliable data on which to base projections. Just goes to probe the axiom, “Garbage in, garbage out””.

  7. Really??? says

    Hummm changes in the world that include fewer earth quakes?

    How do you explain the 4.8 quake in Mexico at 2 AM this morning?

  8. Robert Wilson says

    This is just confirming what any thinking person already knows. The “modeling” they are using to shut down the country is bogus. Gavin Newsom, our horrible governor is the Democrat Socialist piece of crap who started the entire country down the path of shutting everything down!!! He really needs to be recalled!

  9. John McDonnell says

    Diane doesn’t care about overestimates. Just be sure no more people die. But this overlooks the millions of people who have lost their jobs (or businesses). 10 million unemployed in last two weeks. There are folks who live paycheck to paycheck who have no savings. Now they have NOTHING. So tell them it will be better in 8 months? They are starving, and it seems, drinking. Do some research on recent suicides due to the Covid shut-down. Not in MSM of course, but it’s out there. There is a price for everything, including safety. Every cause creates an effect. There are other people in the world who are not like you Diane.

  10. tomsquawk says

    found out early on that the more mousetraps you have, the more mice you have. widespread, extended testing will be a good tell

  11. Cycleman says

    After what the Democrats did to President Trump with all these false accusations and the fake impeachment, how can we trust these people? They’re just using this virus to get rid of him and the only way they think they’re going to be successful is to crush the economy.

    I don’t understand why small business owners and restaurant owners aren’t marching on Sacramento. They’re not working and this would be a perfect time to do it, but all I see are scared sheep. Over 6000 people still die from AIDS every year in the US and we don’t shut the economy down for that.

    I am so sick of seeing Gavin Newsom‘s used car salesman face on TV every day trying to sell us his goods; this virus showed up just at the right time for the Democrats to use it. These people don’t care about us. Remember this will not affect them what so ever, this whole episode is for their political gain, at our expense.

    I hope the people writing the messages in this blog are also flooding the politicians phones and emails telling them how poorly they are handling this situation. Unfortunately, what I see is a lot of scared people who are ok to ‘just roll with it’. Nancy Pelosi‘s next bill is going to give everybody in the country an opportunity to vote including illegal aliens, ultimately that’s what this is about – cheating in November is the ONLY way they can win.

    Fear is the language of slaves; don’t give in, we cannot let them get away with it.

    • It is shocking how we went from a relatively free society to a Police State. The previous person is correct why are people not pushing back more? Are we Americans or are we sheep?

  12. California can loan ventilators because it has succeeded in flattening the curve and its apex will therefore come later than New York. Had it not done so, New York would be SOL.

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