Big Bay Area quake: When and where is it most likely to happen?

As reported by the San Jose Mercury News:

The Bay Area has a nearly three-in-four chance of experiencing a potentially deadly earthquake in the next 30 years, scientists reported Tuesday in a long-awaited update of statewide earthquake probabilities that provides the most precise look yet into our foreboding seismic future.

 The newly revised estimates show a 72 percent chance that a magnitude-6.7 or larger quake — almost the size of the 1989 Loma Prieta temblor — will strike the Bay Area before the year 2044. The odds of a much larger magnitude-7 quake are 50-50.

“The San Francisco Bay Area should live every day like it is the day of The Big One,” said U.S. Geological Survey scientist Ned Field, lead author of the eight-year-long analysis, called the “Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast.”

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Comments

  1. Gee, I hope the Big One holds off until they get all the repairs/upgrades to the Bay Bridge completed.

  2. Who Cares?
    We just want it to happen, be over and done with, and the Bay Area reduced to the mud-flats that it once was.

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